Energy & Environment

Making Rio+20 a success

Daniel Kammen

By Morgan Bazilian, Alan Miller and Daniel M. Kammen

“Out of the sighs of one generation are kneaded the hopes of the next.”
— Joaquim Maria Machado de Assis, Brazilian novelist, poet, and playwright (1839-1908)

The June 2012 UN Conference on Sustainable Development, commonly referred to as Rio+20, provides the global community an opportunity for a critically needed stocktaking on what is known and effective about measures to create ‘green’ and locally vibrant economies[i]. The subject matter is broad and complex, and thus is prone to cliché in public discourse, and also to difficulty in building international support for specific actionable items. Can local (or global) currencies emerge that reflect the cost of global environmental degradation, or even more localised issues such as water quality or forest resilience, and respond to the realities of resource constraints in a world of rapidly rising consumer demand? Can poverty alleviation be accomplished consistent with environmental and fiscal constraints?

How to gauge the progress to date in such a complex ecosystem of projects and motivations is not simple.  How should the international community, stinging from a lack of progress on the design of coherent, global response to the risks of climate change, be both honest about the state of ‘sustainability science’ and praxis?  While many exciting individual initiatives exist, more is needed, specifically, new and vibrant proposals for action both within and outside of the final negotiated text[1]. As an example, the UN has launched a major initiative on Sustainable Energy for All.

The ‘green economy’ focus of the Conference was chosen in part to differentiate this meeting from the focus on global environmental issues in 1992. As progress on poverty has seen more tangible successes than in the environment area in general – it offers an important focus for negotiations and coalition-building.  The complex pre-negotiations of a UN-based consensus processes coupled with the financial realities of the economics of many countries, have led some, indeed many, to criticize that negotiation process as being ineffectual – or sub-optimal – or perhaps even misdirected.  And yet, the stated objective of Rio+20 seems to reinforce these notions, and sets the stage for a rather mundane discussion: “…to secure renewed political commitment for sustainable development, assess the progress to date and the remaining gaps in the implementation…and address new and emerging challenges[ii].”

The political rhetoric and calls to action that are, and will continue to, emerge in the run-up to Rio+20, while well intentioned, are often not be useful – either because they are devoid of substance, or misinformed, or simply naïve about their influence on the outcome. Of course, there are many exceptions to this, as the proposals about the definition and agreement on a set of Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) from the Governments of Columbia and Guatemala show[iii]. The reality remains that sustainable development is rarely encompassed in an individual Ministry, and its cross-cutting nature makes it a low-priority operationally; this is exacerbated due to silo thinking in governments or businesses – even within the Brazilian government, reportedly several dozen ministries have been involved in planning the meetings. Further, the integration of ecological, cultural, and economic sustainability for Rio+20 mean that everyone may listen to the issues, but few see action as a priority where their office or agency stand to be rewarded for leadership.

Indeed, building the “Green economy” might not be the right terminology to use at all because it skirts the issue of the ‘black and red’ of more hide-bound accounting practices that still carry the day in virtually all budgets and boardrooms. As an example, some have proposed that a focus on resource efficiency[iv] would allow for a more recognizable role for policy and regulation, while the recipients of the Blue Planet Prize (like many before them) have highlighted the need to replace GDP with a more meaningful metric encompassing other metrics of sustainability. Nevertheless, the enthusiasm on the ‘road to Rio+20’is important because it highlights, even if for a short time, the need to assess the status of both scientific and political approaches to sustainable economies. The hundreds of submissions received on the Zero Draft are a testament to this engagement.

Ultimately, the world’s poor do not benefit from language in a UN document that simply proposes a renewed commitment to sustainable development – something more is required. The documents from the UNCED (Agenda 21 and the Rio Declaration), were followed ten years later by the Johannesburg Plan of Implementation (JPOI). Collectively, they hold a wealth of good text on the various issues encompassed under the term sustainable development. It is clear then that reiteration of broad principles is not needed. Still, previous incarnations of this event showed that it can do some things well. It can birth ideas, projects, partnerships, and organizations[v], and help people understand an important vocabulary. In addition, related UN-convened international events – like the Millennium Summit in 2000 – helped devise disaggregated indicators of progress (in that case towards the Millennium Development Goals[vi]). Augmenting and refining such measurement and reporting on specific “Sustainable Development Goals[vii] (SDGs), is likely to be one of the most effective and feasible ways to produce tangible outcomes[viii]. All of those items should be pursued with vigour.

A recent essay by Michel Rocard[ix] adds some useful insight about the process, “In an effort to avoid resolutions or measures that expose their disagreements, the world’s great powers have adopted the habit of organizing worldwide debates and conferences that revert to decision-making by consensus. [As a result, the] UN has become the “general operator” for global conferences…[and it] is increasingly taking the blame for these conferences’ failures, which not only leave the issues unresolved, but also undermine the UN’s authority.” He concludes by suggesting the issues be transacted instead at the General Assembly[x] – and its associated voting rules, which would allow for action without complete consensus. Perhaps though, the inability of global conferences to deliver grand results has more to do with external factors such as the economy and political will than the structure of the conferences themselves. In addition, at a time when other convening powers, like the G20, are deeply engaged in similar topics, it becomes unclear where the primary or optimal fora really lie.

The current text (in the January 2012 Zero draft) on providing energy access for all is as well-focused as one could hope[xi]. (But, as an example, the text on water seems much more diffuse[xii].) The text itself on energy is not especially earth-shaking – the JPOI has much more on the subject – but a call towards undertaking specific targets, providing new financial resources, and producing a specific delivery vehicle are well tuned to what Rio+20 can realistically produce. The institutionally-related text on whether UNEP should move from a Program to an Organization (while rather opaque to the public[xiii]) is the type of organizational reform also attainable from such conferences. However, a theological adhesion to a more participative style of global governance (the “jazzier dance of improvisational solution oriented partnerships[xiv]), one highly touted at Rio+10 and conceptually attractive, is not the full solution.

Let us try a different, more inclusive, approach this time: Lower the hype, bring in humility, recognize the constraints governments are struggling under, build partnerships outside of the negotiated text, and focus on the transactable[xv] – such as in discreet aspects in the areas of energy, water and food[xvi] or new and dedicated funding instruments. Focus less on high-minded rhetoric (or side-event and gala dinner design) and more on practical, if modest measures amenable to verification and measurement. That may lead us towards a more broad range of approaches at different levels of jurisdiction and across different national and regional groupings that appears as the most robust way forward. We can do better – the lessons from similar past events are still fresh in the public consciousness. The millions of people who migrated to the cities of Brazil and live near the Conference venue in the favelas certainly deserve a coherent international response that delivers action they can witness.

UNCTAD (2012)[xvii] is blunt about the realities of the related political goals and rhetoric noting, “Green growth naively postulates that technological progress and structural change would be sufficient to uncouple economic from GHG and resources/material consumption growth, without questioning the existing asymmetrical market structures, related supply-chain governance, and economic driving forces (dematerialized growth will remain an illusion under the prevailing capitalist accumulation imperative).” While this type of ‘directness’ is rare and useful to inject into the context of the upcoming event in Rio – it does not need to dissuade us from aspirations. Rather it helps clarify the need for small steps and foundations.

As Thoreau wrote, “If you have built castles in the air, your work need not be lost; that is where they should be. Now put the foundations under them.”

Morgan Bazilian is the Energy Advisor of the Director-General of the United Nations Industrial Development Organization, and a Senior Research Fellow at the International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis.  The opinions of the author are personal views, not intended to represent his organization.

Alan Miller is the Principal Climate Change Specialist in the Environment Department at the International Finance Corporation.The opinions of the author are personal views, not intended to represent his organization.

Daniel Kammen is the Distinguished Professor of Energy and the University of California, Berkeley.  He is the founding director of the Renewable and Appropriate Energy Laboratory, http://rael.berkeley.edu, and the Transportation Sustainability Research Center, http://tsrc.berkeley.edu

********************

End Notes


[1] See e.g., WRI. A Compilation of Green Economy Policies, Programs, and Initiatives from Around the World. 2011.


The authors would like to acknowledge the contributions of Reid Detchon (UNF) and Iain MacGill (UNSW).

[i] See e.g., UNEP. 2011. Green Economy.

[ii]http://www.uncsd2012.org. In a similar style, the proposed first line of the final negotiated text reads: “We, the heads of State and Government, having met at Rio de Janeiro, Brazil, from 20-22 June 2012, resolve to work together for a prosperous, secure and sustainable future for our people and our planet (The Future We Want, January 10, 2012, New York, UNDESA).”

[iii]Ministerio de RelacionesExteriores.Republica de Colombia (2011), Rio+20: Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs). A Proposal from the Governments of Colombia and Guatemala.

[iv] See e.g., McKinsey Global Institute, Resource Revolution, November, 2011.

[v] E.g., the Framework Convention on Climate Change and the Convention on Biological Diversity. Or from Rio+10, the hundreds of Type II Partnerships established (such as GNESD, GVEP and REEEP).

[vi] There are 50 core indicators for the MDGs. Related metrics such as the Human Development Indicator are also powerful motivators of change.

[vii]Para 105a of the Zero draft – The Future We Want, January 10, 2012, New York, UNDESA.http://www.uncsd2012.org.

[viii] Still, it is not without complexity, as they need to be aligned with the Millennium Declaration, which stems from a related, yet separate process.

[ix] Project Syndicate, February 22, 2012.

[x] Related to this, the Zero draft in para. 45 has this text: “We reaffirm the central role of the General Assembly as the highest policy-making body, and call for it to further integrate sustainable development as a key element of the overarching framework for United Nations activities.”

[xi] The proposed (as of Q1, 2012) pre-paragraphs and alternative paragraphs for paragraph 70 (from the compilation document), do not seem to dramatically alter its spirit.

[xii] Para. 70 of the Zero draft. However, the water subject seems more diffuse: “We renew our commitment made in the Johannesburg Plan of Implementation (JPOI) regarding the development and implementation of integrated water resources management and water efficiency plans. We reaffirm our commitment to the 2005-2015 International Decade for Action “Water for Life”. We encourage cooperation initiatives for water resources management in particular through capacity development, exchange of experiences, best practices and lessons learned, as well as sharing appropriate environmentally sound technologies and know-how.”

[xiii] Especially when the text refers to, “establishing universal membership in its Governing Council.” As is a suggestion to, “transform the CSD into a Sustainable Development Council (para. 49alt)”

[xiv] WRI, 2002

[xv]See e.g., Bazilian et al., 2010, An Energy Policy Approach to Climate Change, Energy Policy, Elsevier.

[xvi] See e.g., Bazilian et al., 2011.Considering the Energy, Water and Food Nexus: Towards an Integrated Modelling Framework. Energy Policy. Elsevier.

[xvii] UNCTAD. 2011. Working Paper 205. Meandering because it, like many other papers, has the flaw of taking a useful macro-level point and making proxies for it in climate change and then energy systems – and then making mistakes in the treatment of such a technical area.

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Comments to "Making Rio+20 a success":
    • Anthony St. John

      Prof. Kammen, it is over four months since you made this post and the subject of climate change seems to have been marginalized on the Berkeley Blog ever since. But destructive climate changes continue.

      This week it was announced by the National Snow and Ice Data Center that sea ice in the arctic is at a record low. As reported by the NYT:
      “Scientific forecasts based on computer modeling have long suggested that a time will come when the Arctic will be completely free of ice in the summer, perhaps by the middle of the century. This year’s prodigious melting is lending credibility to more pessimistic analyses that that moment may come much sooner, perhaps by the end of this decade.”
      http://www.nytimes.com/2012/08/28/science/earth/sea-ice-in-arctic-measured-at-record-low.html

      Our worst cultural failure was reported in a Sept/Oct 2006 CALIFORNIA magazine feature story “Can We Adapt in Time” by Sandy Tolan with the concluding statement:
      “Whether resistance to global warming lies more in the hungers of American culture, or because our species is wired to ignore problems in some far-away future—this matters less now than it may have a few years ago, because the future has arrived.”
      http://alumni.berkeley.edu/news/california-magazine/september-october-2006-global-warning/can-we-adapt-in-time

      Because of the above, totally unacceptable facts of life I most strongly urge UC scholars, especially those in the Interdisciplinary Studies emphasizing social sciences, the humanities, and professional schools and colleges to make a difference by educating voters during the 2012 election cycle on decision criteria for choosing candidates and deciding on issues.

      [Report abuse]

    • Anthony St. John

      This post is another proof that Stanford Professors Ornstein and Ehrlich’s conclusion is tragically correct:

      “Although we are evolving, our mental machinery will not change biologically in time to help us solve our problems.”

      [Report abuse]

    • Anthony St. John

      Prof. Kammen, I never cease to be amazed about how close to nil the comments on your extremely important IPCC related global warming progress reports are, especially since you are the coordinating lead author for the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) that won the Nobel Peace Prize in 2007, and are thus the preeminent UC professor and scholar on the subject.

      Another grave warning was issued on the news today:
      “U.S. sees warmest March in recorded history, NOAA reports By Sean Morris, CNN Meteorologist, Mon April 9, 2012.

      What does it take to wake up the university community to join together to make the right things happen with the required sense of urgency?!

      How are we going to educate the people of America and around the world if we can’t activate the university community?!

      Or are the warnings by the IPCC as wrong as republican politicians say they are, because the lack of university activity plays right into their hands?!

      [Report abuse]

    • Anthony St. John

      I pray you folks get it right this time so that the public can understand just exactly what needs to be known and what the imperatives and choices are, or “350 of Bust” shall most certainly be a bust for our newest and all future generations, passing on a legacy of unacceptable quality of life.

      The Greatest Generation sacrificed everything to give us the greatest quality of life in history, and we have failed to perpetuate that legacy. We failed to “Fight Like Hell For the Living” as Mother Jones warned us.

      So we had better find a way quickly to prevent the window of opportunity from closing or all future generations shall most certainly hate us for our greed and immorality, because we failed most of all to practice the most simple Golden Rule religiously and to compromise politically, on an international scale.

      So now we have three top GOP candidates for president left in the ring castigating each other, one who is the role model for extreme greed, one a role model for extreme immorality, and the third who acts like a false prophet referred to in the “Sermon on the Mount” which no leaders on earth seem to be paying heed to.

      So once again, the paramount question is:
      How do we survive in, and adjust to, our changing world?
      The politicians and intellectuals of all past civilizations failed to meet the challenges of change and thus their civilizations failed.

      So far, we are in at as much cataclysmic risk as any prior civilization, and we don’t seem to be making the right things happen to protect humanity any better than they did.

      Good Luck Prof. Kammen, as Corey Powell advised to conclude the 2007 annual “Edge” question issue:
      “Above, all, science needs a face, a representative (or representatives) as charismatic as Pope John Paul II or, say, the late Carl Sagan.”
      I hope you are that leader Prof. Kammen, because science needs at least one today who can educate the people of the world to make the right choices for the long term survival of humanity with an acceptable quality of life.

      [Report abuse]

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